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Information Name: | In recent years, oil volatility of Southeast reason oil |
Published: | 2015-04-30 |
Validity: | 30 |
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Quantity: | 1.00 |
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Detailed Product Description: | In recent years, fluctuations in petroleum oil southeast reason dramatic rise in international oil prices, neither is usually caused oil prices rose in emergencies background, nor may lead to regional military and political crisis of oil supply disruption, perhaps even did not expect OPEC In just a year, oil prices rose to around $ 38 a barrel from less than $ 10. So, the cause of soaring international oil prices in the end what? In the end is what makes oil prices skyrocketed? This problem is as puzzling as the Goldbach conjecture. Who have the fundamental view that the non-fundamental factors were even more bigger, and even conspiracy theories, environmentalists. But whatever the reason is, we see the results are - up, has gone up! One reason: oil depletion theory since 2002, oil prices began to go up trend. "Suddenly," which it seems to be generally considered to be the root cause of high oil prices. Depletion of oil in the end when it? Discussion of the problem has always been there. First, the burial of oil and mining for several years because of research and different data sources. 11 at the end of 2007, oil mining alliance issued a notice, "the world will be able to produce oil in 68 years after exhaustion"; and the Japanese Society of Petroleum Corp. has 贺正夫 believes that "in the coming type (conventional fuel) as well as crude oil 60 years can be mined, and count on to type non-(new fuel) oil sand (including oil sands) and oil shell (including crude oil sedimentary rocks), etc., but also to spend more than 200 years. "Second, the amount of oil buried After years in the case there will be increased. Data show that the amount of oil has been proven worldwide in 2007 was about 1.15 billion barrels, which increased by 10% over the estimates of the previous two years. Regardless of depletion of oil a day from the reality of how far the international oil prices in the short term this year soared to $ 133 a barrel within which triggered a new round of energy panic, many countries have to hoard oil, a fundamental further pushed up oil prices. Two reasons: the imbalance between supply and demand arguments the United States, "Geography" magazine reported in 2007, the world consumed 80 million barrels of oil (one tonne per 7 barrels) per day. Among them, the US is the largest consumer of oil after it, followed by Japan, China, Russia, Germany and South Korea. Currently about half of the world's oil supply depends on more than 110 seats large oil fields, and these fields have experienced large mining process five or six years, basically through its "life cycle" of the "prime of life" stage, into the stable production and decay stage. In the eyes of the international oil and gas investment adviser Xu Xiaojie, oil supply and demand fundamentals of the problem, he believes it is "essential, long-term and fundamental determinants." Weaving dreams is good, good weaving dreams, according to Xu Xiaojie recognition analysis, resulting in a lot of reasons for the imbalance between supply and demand, it has long been the world's oil output growth is very slow, and very fragile oil supply facilities, and few large new oil discoveries. In addition, lack of investment in the upstream oil and gas field, decreasing productivity or growth falters, the supply source attenuation, also contributed to the cause of the imbalance between supply and demand. Three reasons: the dollar on the lack of resources in addition to dilute, the human speculation also led to soaring oil prices in the near future. Among them, the dollar is the most popular theory of a factor. copyright dedecms OPEC has an agreement with the United States, with the US dollar as the settlement currency in oil. To ensure that the interests of oil producers is not compromised, the devaluation of the dollar today, only continue to push prices higher, this is in line with US strategic intentions and interests. When international oil prices broke through $ 110, Citigroup energy analyst Tim Evans said, oil prices has nothing to do with supply and demand structure, but because of the dollar and inflation pressures. International crude oil futures market in US dollars, investors holding other stronger currencies to buy crude oil prices caused. OPEC's rotating presidency Xishajibo Khalil agreed. He also believes that the international price of oil has nothing to do with oil supply and demand soaring, the dollar and market speculation caused. The weak dollar as an international speculative hot money into the crude oil and gold futures market provides opportunities for speculation, resulting in oil and gold prices are constantly rising. Four reasons: speculation on Wall Street Strategies, a senior analyst Connie Turner pointed out that market speculation is pushing the root causes of soaring oil prices, and a variety of short-term news is just speculation, oil prices just a pretext. Since the funds involved, the market will likely lead to higher oil prices to any news of amplification, such as rising oil prices today because there is likely to be the US commercial crude oil inventories unexpectedly fell, tomorrow there may be geopolitical issues. He justified this statement. It is reported that since the beginning of the year, the benchmark New York crude oil futures prices rose nearly 40 percent, only in May on the New York market, oil prices rose 17%. May 16, New York oil prices $ 127, although the price for the day, the transaction is July oil futures. This is like the oil in February and January 2 oil "Pobai" and "futures" This form of investment is clearly a huge impact on oil prices. Recently, a Democratic senator said that behavior is extremely speculative forces indulge in the futures market, futures market trading volume has more than 20 times the actual demand. This is also one of the strong evidence speculators stir futures. Five reasons: Laws of the season there are environmental scientists believe that summer is peak oil, and gradually into the Northern Hemisphere summer, production, life of oil will enter the growth period. May to November each year as the US hurricane-prone season, once the news of the hurricane will affect oil prices, which has become a stereotype. Experts believe that have an impact on the recent soaring oil prices which has to a certain extent. Weaving dreams is good, good weaving dreams Six reasons: geopolitical On Orne former deputy oil minister of Kuwait has issued a statement, he said the world's major oil-producing region tense geopolitical situation is pushing the recent surge in international oil prices the main reason. Aoun told KUNA said in an interview, Iraq, Iran and Nigeria, geopolitical tensions, the situation stimulated the rise in oil prices. Oil reserves distribution is extremely uneven, currently in Saudi Arabia, Iran, Kuwait and other Middle Eastern countries, oil reserves account for more than 60% of total global reserves, while the Asia-Pacific region's oil reserves is less than 2%. From a historical point of view the case of the three oil crisis, high oil prices will further increase the geopolitical risk areas, such as the 1978 Iran-Iraq war and the 1990 Gulf War, remains the fundamental objective of the oil resources of the competition. This is caught in a vicious circle, the more geopolitical instability, the more force the parties to drive up oil prices. Want more advice and more investment opportunities may be concerned about the following! Zhejiang Huatai Zong platform features: 1. Xinhua Zhejiang commodity trading center by the major national projects - Xinhua News Agency initiated the establishment of the financial information platform, the Xinhua News Agency, the Economic and Social Council holding. 2. Department of Commerce of Zhejiang fulfill business supervision and risk control, can be found at the Ministry of Commerce and the Business Information Network. 3. To meet the needs of a variety of transactions: investment demand, hedging demand, demand physical delivery 4. Trading variety, including: crude oil, copper, aluminum, etc. 5. Support tripartite depository bank, can counter for access to payment, transfer funds instantly 6. Support phone into turn out to read the tape, the next single, anytime operations (quotes, orders a do not miss) 7.T + 0 two-way operation, do more short, you can select the direction of the operation 8. Spot crude oil 0.9 back to the point, stop loss and profit limit risks to a minimum 9. The free market trends Consult online business QQ: 1146921160 (Code: xhs) 10. Tel: 13167903631 11. More experience, please add QQ National Technical exchanges Group: 438 312 159 (the Group Code: xhs) professional instructor TEL: 13167903631 (left teacher) Tips: Successful investment = strict attitude control + right + excellent technology fund management skill. Remind once again, "Forewarned is forearmed, without prejudging the waste," be sure to do one with a good stop, control risk is profitably. |
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Copyright ©2025 GuangDong ICP No. 10089450, John Yap All rights reserved.
Technical support: ShenZhen AllWays Technology Development Co., Ltd.
AllSources Network's Disclaimer: The legitimacy of the enterprise information does not undertake any guarantee responsibility